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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d |  Slowroasted | Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 641d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 642d |  MotherTheresa | Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$404 +31% | 4 |
| 677d |  MMousse | Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $4,221 | +$2,147 +51% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.