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Polymarket wallet 0x7683f416f0300a169b49b1726cb79345e4b5e67b · on Polymarket since Jul 26, 2024 · also shown as Trusty-Recession
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 458 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 174 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 36 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.