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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302d | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,134 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 318d | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,816 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 361d | Ordon2 fills | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,190 | +$146 +2.8% | 4 |
| 361d | Retired-Davis | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,313 | −$39 −1.7% | — |
| 449d | Starry-Flanker3 fills | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,632 | +$243 +2.8% | 4 |
| 455d | Linkdad | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$173 +3.5% | 4 |
| 462d | Retired-Davis | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,596 | +$222 +4.0% | 4 |
| 464d | Gdub | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$115 +4.0% | 4 |
| 465d | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$50 +4.3% | 4 | |
| 473d | Ideal | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,290 | +$148 +4.5% | 4 |
| 474d | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | +$115 +4.8% | 4 | |
| 474d | ourdemocracy | Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | +$113 +5.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Elon Musk from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.