| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 40,125 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $38,119 | +$1,128 +3.0% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 26,416 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $23,339 | −$156 −0.7% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20,327 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $20,134 | +$1,101 +5.8% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 12,619 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $12,051 | +$1,169 +11% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10,885 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $10,558 | +$922 +9.6% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10,861 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $10,264 | +$533 +5.5% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 11,779 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $10,065 | −$182 −1.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 9,174 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $8,486 | +$18 +0.2% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 8,805 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $8,180 | +$530 +6.9% |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | No | 8,034 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $7,423 | +$279 +3.9% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 7,281 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $7,005 | +$950 +16% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 5,900 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $5,546 | +$281 +5.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5,625 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $5,315 | +$45 +0.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 4,976 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $4,857 | +$180 +3.9% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | Yes | 5,236 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $4,817 | +$193 +4.2% |
| Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 4,185 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $4,044 | +$350 +9.5% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 4,140 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $3,997 | +$104 +2.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 4,201 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $3,760 | +$62 +1.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,675 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $3,574 | +$27 +0.8% |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 3,578 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $3,501 | +$105 +3.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 3,197 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $2,733 | +$42 +1.5% |
| Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Ends in 181d | No | 2,799 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,721 | +$90 +3.4% |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,784 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $2,647 | +$104 +4.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 3,213 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $2,618 | −$40 −1.5% |
| Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2,713 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $2,462 | +$185 +8.1% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 2,866 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $2,307 | +$100 +4.5% |
| French election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,184 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,995 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,967 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $1,918 | +$121 +6.7% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,938 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,884 | +$41 +2.2% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 181d | No | 1,976 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,878 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,000 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,810 | −$10 −0.5% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,830 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $1,777 | +$148 +9.1% |
| Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 1,818 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $1,717 | +$24 +1.4% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,759 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,691 | +$38 +2.3% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,710 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $1,665 | +$190 +13% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Ends in 181d | No | 1,713 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,655 | +$37 +2.3% |
| Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,655 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,615 | +$60 +3.9% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?Ends in 164d | No | 1,645 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $1,546 | +$98 +6.8% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 1,556 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1,470 | +$32 +2.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,477 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $1,359 | +$126 +10% |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,257 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1,187 | +$68 +6.1% |
| JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,143 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,115 | +$41 +3.8% |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,045 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $994 | +$31 +3.2% |
| Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 1,032 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $978 | +$10 +1.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 921 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $885 | +$48 +5.7% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | Yes | 940 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $881 | +$14 +1.6% |
| Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 926 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $879 | +$42 +5.0% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 919 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $876 | +$10 +1.2% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 1,500 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $782 | −$5 −0.7% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 938 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $745 | +$25 +3.5% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 676 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $655 | +$5 +0.8% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Ends in 74d | No | 677 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $643 | +$53 +8.9% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 617 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $589 | +$4 +0.8% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 181d | Yes | 620 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $530 | −$9 −1.7% |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 543 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $511 | +$60 +13% |
| Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 506 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $489 | +$23 +5.0% |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $481 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 181d | No | 476 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $459 | +$13 +2.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 540 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $413 | +$14 +3.5% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 444 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $410 | +$21 +5.5% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 12d | Nothing | 400 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $382 | +$9 +2.4% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 7,751 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $329 | +$159 +93% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM?Ends in 19d | Yes | 301 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $283 | +$20 +7.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Ends in 439d | No | 359 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $278 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?Ends in 18d | Yes | 301 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $265 | +$28 +12% |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 267 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $250 | −$4 −1.6% |
| Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 252 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $243 | +$8 +3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 241 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $237 | +$6 +2.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 243 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $237 | +$5 +2.2% |
| Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | No | 250 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $236 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 260 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $226 | +$3 +1.4% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 181d | No | 224 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $205 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Ends in 164d | No | 193 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $191 | +$36 +23% |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 439d | No | 255 | 84¢ → 74¢ | $189 | −$26 −12% |
| Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | No | 190 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $184 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 199 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $179 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 178 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $169 | +$17 +11% |
| Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 181d | No | 175 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $167 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | Yes | 198 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $167 | +$6 +4.0% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027Ends in 255d | No | 180 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $164 | +$5 +3.0% |
| Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 165 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $155 | +$3 +2.1% |
| Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 150 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $150 | +$4 +2.6% |
| JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Ends in 42d | Yes | 164 | 73¢ → 92¢ | $150 | +$30 +25% |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 141 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $138 | +$6 +4.5% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 73d | Yes | 219 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $134 | −$2 −1.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 128 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $107 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $106 | +$17 +19% |
| D4vd released from custody in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 107 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $99 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 80 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $76 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 50 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $48 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 38 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $37 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 25 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $24 | +$2 +7.9% |
| Diddy released from custody in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 23 | 65¢ → 85¢ | $19 | +$5 +31% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$210 −100% |
| Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,141 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,050 −100% |
