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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31 | 0% | −2 pts | −11 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 31 | 0% | −6 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d |  edisonyang | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,643 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | baba1443 | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 364d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | December 31 | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$824 +82% | 20 |
| 448d |  JaidenAnimations4 fills | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,144 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 448d |  cruzzzz | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 448d |  polfund | July 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$16 −1.5% | — |
| 448d |  basedcigany | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 448d | okcoolstorybro | July 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,697 | +$14 +0.5% | 20 |
| 449d |  donjo | July 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,558 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 449d |  UtolsoAkciohos | July 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 518d | Silvex | July 31 | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $17,275 | −$17,980 −104% | — |
| 518d | Reython | July 31 | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $18,333 | −$18,333 −100% | 20 |
| 550d | Uvenlor | May 31 | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $34,234 | −$16,110 −47% | — |
| 550d | Uvenlor | May 31 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $34,737 | +$15,607 +45% | 20 |
OneFinalStand99172,787 shares
Sybau1378 shares
moveanway2 sharesThis is a market on whether Trump will reduce tariffs on Canada by a specified date.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for July 31 means the market gives it about 0%.