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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31? | 0% | −14 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 31 | 0% | −23 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 100% | +7 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| September 30 | 100% | +9 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31? means the market gives it about 0%.
