| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | Yes | 2,000 | 3¢ → 8¢ | $150 | +$99 +193% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 43 | 59¢ → 93¢ | $40 | +$14 +56% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 45 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $38 | +$7 +22% |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | Yes | 45 | 44¢ → 81¢ | $36 | +$16 +82% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 24¢ → 72¢ | $30 | +$20 +197% |
| SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $28 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $28 | +$2 +8.8% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 26 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $26 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 170 | 2¢ → 14¢ | $24 | +$20 +600% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $22 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 24 | 64¢ → 88¢ | $22 | +$6 +38% |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 25 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Ends in 4d | Yes | 21 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$3 +19% |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$4 +23% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 18 | 32¢ → 99¢ | $17 | +$12 +212% |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$1 +9.8% |
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 52¢ → 93¢ | $16 | +$7 +79% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$2 +15% |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $14 | +$5 +48% |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $14 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 15 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $14 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 15 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $14 | +$1 +12% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $13 | +$2 +18% |
| US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.1% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 34¢ → 95¢ | $12 | +$8 +181% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $11 | +$2 +19% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 13¢ → 71¢ | $11 | +$9 +448% |
| Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$3 +57% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 25 | 52¢ → 36¢ | $9 | −$4 −31% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 18¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$7 +381% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$2 +25% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 35 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $8 | +$2 +25% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 45 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $7 | −$1 −14% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 41 | 41¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$10 −60% |
| Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Ends in 15d | Yes | 13 | 63¢ → 50¢ | $7 | −$2 −21% |
| California High-Earner Permanent Tax PropositionEnds in 11d | Yes | 7 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $7 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 22¢ → 34¢ | $6 | +$2 +57% |
| Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 22 | 47¢ → 27¢ | $6 | −$4 −43% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 42 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$8 −58% |
| Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$1 −21% |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 55¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$7 −58% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 72¢ → 54¢ | $5 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 63¢ → 32¢ | $5 | −$5 −49% |
| NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)Ends in 15d | National | 9 | 60¢ → 51¢ | $5 | −$1 −15% |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +15% |
| Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 50¢ → 82¢ | $4 | +$2 +64% |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 47¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$2 +89% |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$2 +124% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$1 +37% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$1 +14% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 29 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $4 | −$3 −45% |
| Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $4 | −$1 −25% |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Ends in 250d | Down | 35 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $4 | −$4 −51% |
| Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$0 −8.6% |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Ends in 176d | Yes | 15 | 73¢ → 26¢ | $4 | −$7 −65% |
| Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$3 −46% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 45 | 68¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$27 −89% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 62¢ → 89¢ | $3 | +$1 +43% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 45 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $3 | −$5 −60% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | Yes | 15 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $3 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Colorado in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 76¢ → 60¢ | $3 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 8 | 55¢ → 35¢ | $3 | −$2 −37% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 67¢ → 27¢ | $3 | −$4 −60% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$4 −63% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 3 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 45 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.2% |
| Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 48¢ | $2 | −$2 −43% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 45 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +16% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 128d | Yes | 15 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 67¢ → 91¢ | $2 | +$0 +35% |
| Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$1 −26% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 40¢ → 19¢ | $2 | −$2 −54% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$1 −34% |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 23¢ → 64¢ | $1 | +$1 +178% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$3 −67% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?Ends in 128d | Yes | 3 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 35 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$3 −67% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 29¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$7 −85% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 80¢ → 24¢ | $1 | −$3 −70% |
| California voter ID referendum passes?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9 | 55¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$4 −77% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −39% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 33¢ → 20¢ | $1 | −$1 −40% |
