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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d | Nabeel0505 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,687 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,631 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 641d | Nabeel0505 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,885 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 641d | pantomime | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | 1mperator17 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,499 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 641d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,488 | +$19 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 641d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,232 | +$78 +2.4% | 20 | |
| 641d | Jinxp | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 641d | Trumppper | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$7 +0.7% | 20 |
| 641d | Samchj | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$13 +1.3% | 20 |
| 641d | pablos2-113 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$12 +1.2% | 20 |
| 641d | Jamechar | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$15 +1.5% | 20 |
| 641d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,811 | +$20 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 641d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,860 | −$39 −1.0% | — | |
| 641d | Paul231 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 641d | paul258 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 641d | Superb-Skullduggery | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,016 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 641d | ejfgaw2 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 641d | Ryan22 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 641d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,570 | +$32 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 642d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | +$317 +14% | 23 | |
| 643d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$675 +45% | 25 | |
| 655d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | +$867 +50% | 20 | |
| 660d | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $2,596 | +$1,859 +72% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump on January 20, 2025 ET, for crimes related to the January 6 Capitol attack. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that Trump will pardon individuals will not count. Only pardons, commutations, or reprieves actually issued on that date will count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for whether any protestor is pardoned will be official information from the US government (e.g. https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.