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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450d | Eatpraylove2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,773 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 450d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,521 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 450d | QMG-CORE | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,110 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 452d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,790 | +$87 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 452d | 0x253d…3307 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,822 | −$52 −0.9% | — |
| 452d | aviato | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 454d | TerreMoto | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,833 | +$49 +1.0% | 20 |
| 454d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,087 | +$45 +1.1% | 20 |
| 454d | nhpx38txna0500 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,892 | +$108 +1.2% | 20 |
| 454d | esac | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | −$22 −1.3% | — |
| 454d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,168 | −$118 −1.6% | — | |
| 455d | slight-2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,778 | +$240 +2.0% | 20 |
| 455d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 25 | |
| 455d | 0x253d…3307 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | +$18 +0.8% | 20 |
| 455d | meropi | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 455d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.