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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,577 | +$50 +0.8% | 2 |
| 86d | 18in36out | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,151 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 86d | thanksmom | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,075 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | Another-Allowance3 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,129 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 86d |  elmcap28 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,087 | +$324 +1.2% | 2 |
| 87d | Bet1nthedark | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 89d | theigloo | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,494 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 95d |  Valen9 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,232 | −$40 −0.6% | — |
| 96d | 18in36out | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 97d | keribit | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | SellNo100¢ | $2,916 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 101d | javarisjavarjavarisonlamar | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,980 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 106d | Elias.Thornwell | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo100¢ | $3,421 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 106d |  wish- | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 112d | selador | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,832 | −$168 −2.1% | — |
| 112d |  10000Bets | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
| 112d | gria | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$19 +1.6% | 2 |
| 112d | marsion | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$17 +1.6% | 2 |
| 112d | baofu1682 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,619 | +$46 +1.3% | 2 |
| 112d | ssxji | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$36 +1.6% | 2 |
| 113d | 6161friends2 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | +$34 +1.6% | 2 |
| 113d | selador3 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,623 | +$54 +1.2% | 2 |
| 133d |  Car | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$44 +4.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.