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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 390d |  ImJustKen | Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,631 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 390d |  basedcigany | Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 390d | pixxeloverlord | Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 391d | CryptoRandi | Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 391d | cnerwuiva2 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,336 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 392d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,486 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 395d | Flim | Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
Albun11,389 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
