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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,633 | +$256 +5.5% | 4 |
| 362d |  jadebasilisk | Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,622 | +$156 +2.8% | 4 |
| 399d |  beigesun | Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$40 −3.8% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.