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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +69 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1622 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,083 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 403d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,076 | +$51 +0.6% | 20 |
| 403d |  AgricultureSecretary | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$102 +5.4% | 20 |
| 403d |  nicoco89 | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$139 +5.6% | 20 |
| 403d |  Car2 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,142 | +$244 +11% | 20 |
| 406d | HenryKissingerr | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $2,068 | +$2,235 +108% | 20 |
| 409d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$3,645 +188% | 22 |
LEAN-IS-LAW905 shares
rottendotcom700 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the North Western hemisphere between September 5 and September 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.