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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +1 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | +$41 +2.6% | 4 | |
| 238d | Wowiwow | Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$98 −9.7% | — |
| 260d | Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,953 | −$725 −18% | — | |
| 262d | Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$580 +14% | 4 | |
| 263d | Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $4,736 | +$1,594 +34% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.