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Polymarket wallet 0x2f4f909690869627a4b51113e76934619e8f897d · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$6 −60% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 769 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 571 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 526 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 322 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 228 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $10 |
| 258d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 259d | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BuyYes13¢ | $14 |
| 260d | US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp2¢ | $7 |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp56¢ | $10 |
| 263d | Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $13 |
| 263d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 263d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 263d | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 263d | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BuyYes25¢ | $26 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.