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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d | therealbatman3 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes>99¢ | $120,705 | +$408 +0.3% | 10 |
| 722d |  Erasmus.4 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $34,933 | +$686 +2.0% | 10 |
| 724d | kingfisher3 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,837 | −$163 −1.0% | — |
| 725d | CoolBetguy4 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,699 | −$153 −0.9% | — |
| 725d |  DEGENKHAN3 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,746 | −$58 −0.9% | — |
| 725d | TimBalz | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,822 | −$120 −0.6% | — |
| 726d |  ImJustKen | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $56,751 | −$515 −0.9% | — |
| 729d | Nowhere-Man | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,914 | −$15 −0.8% | — |
| 729d | aadvark | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $17,774 | −$287 −1.6% | — |
| 730d | DEGENKHAN3 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,741 | +$123 +2.1% | 10 |
| 730d | TimBalz2 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,455 | +$348 +1.3% | 10 |
| 733d | 0xfe91…70ff | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,176 | −$93 −1.5% | — |
| 733d | CoolBetguy6 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,032 | +$335 +2.6% | 10 |
| 734d | RD29 | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,869 | −$94 −1.9% | — |
| 737d | nickverd6 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $14,312 | +$624 +4.4% | 10 |
| 737d |  fhantombets | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,360 | −$238 −3.7% | — |
| 743d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | −$34 −2.0% | — |
| 748d | Gdub3 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $16,875 | +$625 +3.7% | 10 |
| 755d |  debased | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$90 +3.1% | 10 |
| 761d | AntiMAGA | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,863 | +$453 +4.2% | 10 |
| 773d |  Onchain-Capital | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | −$126 −6.4% | — |
| 798d |  BigMike114 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $11,172 | +$944 +8.4% | 10 |
| 801d |  westisbest73 | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$87 +8.7% | 10 |
| 801d |  Apsalar | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$107 +9.9% | 10 |
| 806d | DunkBruntley2 fills | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,080 | +$435 +6.1% | 10 |
| 808d | Onchain-Capital | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$170 +9.3% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.