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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d |  cbo34 | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,216 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 571d | Theone1897 | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,122 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 571d | rwo | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,549 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 571d | Snoorrason | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 573d | Theone1897 | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$79 +7.6% | 5 |
| 573d | cbo34 | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$182 +18% | 6 |
| 576d |  Rane2022 | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$506 −48% | — |
| 577d | Rane2022 | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,084 | +$726 +35% | 6 |
| 580d |  ingenuityguy | Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$118 +5.9% | 4 |
smeraldo310 shares
Aurora6667 shares
Bennett5 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine controls the intersection of Mosovaya ulitsa and Shkol'naya ulitsa in Demidovka on March 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM ET (noon). The intersection station will be considered under Ukrainian control if any part of the intersection is shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375). If the area is not blue on March 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM ET (noon), the market will resolve to “No”. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Demidovka+Intersection.jpeg Demidovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Demidovka+Location.jpeg Google Maps location: https://maps.app.goo.gl/N4Fjy41hW7YomCgc9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.