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Polymarket wallet 0xb612b3d27ed6b309aeb2235eabfb6a54dc01c6b0 · on Polymarket since Nov 9, 2024 · also shown as Lumpy-Defendant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 67d | Yes | 580 | 24¢ → 11¢ | $64 | −$76 −54% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,068 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Ukraine control Grafovka on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,618 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.