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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 673d |  beigesun2 fills | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,356 | +$44 +0.5% | 4 |
| 678d |  88888LUCKY88888 | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 683d |  Waklert | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,646 | −$29 −1.1% | — |
| 684d | szkalaito | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 684d | szakal | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,312 | −$18 −0.8% | — |
| 684d | szkalaito | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,410 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 684d | szakal | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,322 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 684d | Waklert | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,663 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 687d |  MMousse2 fills | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,706 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 690d | TimBalz | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,694 | −$94 −2.0% | — |
| 700d | MMousse | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$10 +0.8% | 4 |
| 715d | Justfork | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$16 −1.3% | — |
| 715d | Justfork | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 716d | ImHereForTheRewards | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,596 | +$70 +1.5% | 4 |
| 728d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,915 | −$85 −1.7% | — |
| 731d | RandomDude | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$26 +2.1% | 4 |
| 794d |  MisTKy3 | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | −$53 −2.7% | — |
| 795d |  ImJustKen3 fills | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,060 | +$463 +5.7% | 4 |
| 803d | momom | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $50,000 | +$1,738 +3.5% | 4 |
| 808d |  50Whence2 fills | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 4 |
| 808d | MisTKy32 fills | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$237 +5.3% | 4 |
| 837d | Gdub | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 4 |
| 846d | NowiBelieve | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$128 +6.4% | 4 |
| 879d | 50Whence | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | −$172 −8.7% | — |
| 879d |  ANudeEgg2 fills | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,755 | −$433 −7.5% | — |
| 910d | ANudeEgg2 fills | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,496 | +$236 +6.8% | 4 |
| 931d | BeN | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,615 | +$488 +8.7% | 4 |
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.