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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 751d |  ImJustKen | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,292 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 752d | hmmmmm-3652 fills | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,885 | +$32 +0.3% | 4 |
| 753d |  carp | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,132 | −$50 −1.2% | — |
| 753d | Qtyu2 fills | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,651 | +$79 +1.2% | 4 |
| 753d |  BustedCungly | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 4 |
| 753d | Alder | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 753d | carp | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$27 +2.6% | 4 |
| 754d | Ereviz.eth | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$14 +1.3% | 4 |
| 754d | aLaT | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | −$39 −2.0% | — |
| 754d | aLaT | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$25 +1.3% | 4 |
| 755d |  just.some.guy3 fills | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,025 | −$241 −3.0% | — |
| 755d | just.some.guy2 fills | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,273 | +$298 +2.9% | 4 |
| 756d | Lisbon | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$20 +1.7% | 4 |
| 757d |  ANudeEgg6 fills | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,723 | +$289 +2.3% | 4 |
| 757d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,860 | +$158 +2.3% | 4 |
| 758d |  50Whence | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,007 | +$55 +1.8% | 4 |
| 769d |  Eternev | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,362 | +$140 +4.2% | 4 |
| 780d | khabib-706 | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$90 +6.4% | 4 |
On August 14 it was reported that Democratic VP candidate Tim Walz had agreed to CBS News' offer to debate Vance on October 1 (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-democratic-vp-nominee-walz-accepts-cbs-news-offer-debate-vance-oct-1-2024-08-14/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz and J.D. Vance engage in a live, publicly-broadcast debate on October 1, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.