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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 974d |  SesameCake2 fills | Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,290 | +$111 +2.6% | 4 |
| 980d | khabib-706 | Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$57 +2.0% | 4 |
| 989d |  ImJustKen | Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,357 | +$140 +4.2% | 4 |
Warpcast has been surging in the app store rankings, surpassing WeChat on Feb 4 (see https://twitter.com/dwr/status/1754378105836495168). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warpcast is in the top 5 free social networking iPhone apps at any point by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the US iPhone App Store's "Top Free Apps" chart for the "Social Networking" category, viewable here: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/social-networking-apps/6005?chart=top-free.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.