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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $4,800 | 0% | −12 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,300 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,400 | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,750 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,500 | 0% | −2 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,900 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,650 | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,850 | 0% | −8 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,450 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,950 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,700 | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,350 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,550 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,600 | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,319 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $4,950 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,157 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 170d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $4,750 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,587 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of May 4 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $4,800 means the market gives it about 0%.