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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| December 31 | 76% | −2 pts | — | 74¢ · 77¢ (3¢) | $140 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d |  fqy2026 | December 31 | SellYes73¢ → 76¢ | $2,438 | −$83 −3.4% | — |
| 12d | Jaydenzff | December 31 | BuyNo35¢ → 25¢ | $1,000 | −$297 −30% | 40 |
| 22d | Rapid-Jicama | December 31 | BuyYes71¢ → 76¢ | $1,400 | +$96 +6.9% | 40 |
| 26d | Plush-Origin | December 31 | BuyNo31¢ → 25¢ | $1,200 | −$236 −20% | 41 |
| 74d |  1660S.eth | December 31 | BuyNo71¢ → 25¢ | $1,420 | −$930 −65% | 39 |
| 114d | FlyingPlaty | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,486 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
before202754 shares
bjprolo10 shares
dogcrypto62 shares
namemean49 shares
marketsnember7 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 1%.