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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 100% | — | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kazakhstan | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Italy | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Slovenia | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Norway | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Germany | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brazil | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spain | 100% | — | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sweden | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hong Kong | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United States | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| United Arab Emirates | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canada | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Austria | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ireland | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Korea | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Great Britain | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Czech Republic | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | −15 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Argentina | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kenya | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andorra | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Africa | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jamaica | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | 0 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chile | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malaysia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thailand | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chinese Taipei | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Turkey | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lebanon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | — | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| India | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Puerto Rico | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Morocco | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moldova | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Singapore | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Romania | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kosovo | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greece | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pakistan | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uruguay | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colombia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nigeria | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Philippines | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kyrgyzstan | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Albania | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guinea-Bissau | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armenia | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bolivia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malta | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madagascar | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mongolia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Monaco | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liechtenstein | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haiti | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Finland | 0% | −1 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hungary | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia | 0% | −1 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eritrea | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| North Macedonia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | −1 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Slovakia | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| INA | 0% | −2 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244d | ForFamily | Kazakhstan | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,172 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | OLOTH | Jamaica | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,206 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | Headscratcher | Kazakhstan | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,545 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | hsy5652 | China | SellYes>99¢ | $3,674 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d |  ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Hong Kong | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,054 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Serbia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Argentina | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,169 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Malaysia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,151 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | United Arab Emirates | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,398 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | 0x25c2…cd023 fills | Kazakhstan | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,139 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d |  Mijiha2 fills | China | SellYes>99¢ | $5,960 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 246d |  UnstoppableLoxodont | Kazakhstan | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,099 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d | UnstoppableLoxodont | Spain | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,093 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d | UnstoppableLoxodont | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,570 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d | SMJKC | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,570 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d |  lostmansoul | Switzerland | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | lostmansoul | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,003 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 246d |  beenraping | Spain | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,028 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,095 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 247d | gongwuyuan | China | SellYes>99¢ | $2,833 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 247d | beenraping | United Arab Emirates | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,412 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 247d | beenraping | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,998 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 247d | beenraping | Kazakhstan | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 247d | Tommm-924 | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,223 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 247d | 10KWarrior | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,921 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 247d | ganadores88 | China | SellYes>99¢ | $1,045 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 247d | sdhyky | China | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 247d | Mijiha3 fills | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,059 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 247d |  0xdc3E831cad | China | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,460 | +$155 +1.5% | 4 |
| 247d | dabendangt22 fills | China | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,791 | +$347 +12% | 5 |
| 247d | Adventurous-Evaluator2 fills | China | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $8,776 | +$1,759 +20% | 5 |
| 247d | hsy5652 | China | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | +$414 +20% | 5 |
| 247d | FlyingPlaty | China | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$334 +20% | 5 |
| 248d |  OraculumNobius | Sweden | SellYes>99¢ | $1,457 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 248d | OraculumNobius | Japan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,402 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 248d | OraculumNobius | Australia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,101 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 248d | OraculumNobius | Great Britain | SellYes>99¢ | $1,088 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 248d |  300PS | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,141 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 249d | beenraping | South Korea | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,790 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | beenraping | Brazil | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,420 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | beenraping | Austria | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,480 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Slovenia | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,303 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,204 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Canada | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,856 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | Jaded-Mail | Australia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,000 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 249d | worldcupno1 | Canada | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,006 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | sugertime | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,084 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | Tobias1909 | Sweden | SellYes>99¢ | $1,429 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 250d |  MrNoItAll | Brazil | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,120 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 250d | OraculumNobius | Japan | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,385 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 250d | OraculumNobius | Australia | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 251d | upp | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,143 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 251d | upp | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | riskofnorisk | Sweden | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,681 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 252d | riskofnorisk | Japan | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,320 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | riskofnorisk | Netherlands | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,121 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | riskofnorisk | Italy | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,075 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | riskofnorisk | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,165 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | riskofnorisk | France | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,078 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | OLOTH | South Korea | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,666 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country wins one or more gold medals at the 2026 Milano–Cortina Winter Olympics. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the gold medal count from the official medal table as it stands after medals are awarded for the final event of the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Subsequent disqualifications, reallocations, or other changes to medal counts will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, medals won by athletes competing as Individual Neutral Athletes (INA) will be classified as “INA” and will not count toward any listed nation’s medal total. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve based on medals awarded in completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China means the market gives it about 100%.