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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drake | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| LeBron James | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javier Milei | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| King Felipe VI | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Timothée Chalamet | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pam Bondi | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | 0% | −92 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kathy Hochul | 100% | +34 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| David Beckham | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Carney | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marco Rubio | 100% | +92 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Antonela Roccuzzo | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zinedine Zidane | 100% | +41 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kim Kardashian | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pep Guardiola | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rupert Murdoch | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serena Williams | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Sean Duffy | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kristi Noem | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mikie Sherrill | 100% | +47 pts | — | 97¢ · 100¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Rosalía | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Rafael Nadal | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Tom Brady | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,103 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 97d | Spiffy-Hold | Claudia Sheinbaum | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,066 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
penguinx3,300 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tom Brady means the market gives it about 100%.