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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 100% | +24 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| France | 100% | +22 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spain | 100% | +25 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −35 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| England | 100% | +34 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| USA | 0% | −17 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | −22 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Morocco | 0% | −22 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egypt | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | −26 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −26 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colombia | 0% | −24 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | −23 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | −7 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brazil | 0% | −35 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paraguay | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −5 pts | −5 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Canada | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cape Verde | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | −22 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senegal | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −17 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uruguay | 0% | −2 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Korea | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Turkiye | 0% | −7 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ghana | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DR Congo | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tunisia | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Africa | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Algeria | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curacao | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Panama | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scotland | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haiti | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Iraq | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104d |  saintaphextwin | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $5,403 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 104d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Switzerland | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,971 | +$377 +3.4% | 5 |
| 104d | uptime0724 | Argentina | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $5,317 | +$2,863 +54% | 12 |
| 104d | vad1 | Argentina | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | −$1,005 −50% | — |
| 104d | RTIII | Argentina | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$601 −48% | — |
| 104d | Thin-Pendant | Argentina | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | −$232 −21% | — |
| 104d | p0520 | Norway | SellNo>99¢ | $1,129 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 104d | 0xfeef…4b1f | England | SellYes>99¢ | $1,409 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 104d | LeRoiSoleil3 fills | Switzerland | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,965 | −$1,050 −26% | — |
| 104d | 3touch1 | England | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$268 +8.9% | 5 |
| 104d |  AngryRhino | Argentina | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,750 | −$1,250 −33% | — |
| 105d |  Gleaming-Pear | England | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$1,034 +52% | 9 |
| 105d |  gejbr | Norway | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | +$1,235 +54% | 9 |
| 105d | gejbr | England | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,863 | +$2,080 +54% | 9 |
| 105d | izowooi-naver | Argentina | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,020 | +$954 +32% | 8 |
| 105d | Healthy-Wrestler | England | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$560 +54% | 9 |
| 105d | allegiant123 | England | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 9 |
| 105d | Daddycome2 fills | England | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,519 +50% | 6 |
| 105d | over. | Argentina | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$947 +32% | 8 |
| 105d |  Yoriichi77 | Argentina | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $7,522 | +$2,461 +33% | 8 |
| 105d | 0xfeef…4b1f | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $1,322 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 105d | KBO30 | Belgium | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,175 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 105d | FlyingPlaty | Spain | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 105d | angeldrive | Spain | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$593 −58% | — |
| 106d |  balthazar | Belgium | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$138 −13% | — |
| 106d | Wonderful-Patio | Spain | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,099 | −$309 −15% | — |
| 106d | Wonderful-Patio | Belgium | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$514 +30% | 8 |
| 106d | Wonderful-Patio | Spain | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$701 +28% | 8 |
| 106d | angeldrive | Spain | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$422 +35% | 8 |
| 106d | Gleaming-Pear | Spain | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $2,219 | −$2,219 −100% | 9 |
| 106d | Gleaming-Pear | Belgium | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | −$1,088 −100% | 9 |
| 106d | jimmyjpeg | Belgium | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,042 | −$1,042 −100% | 9 |
| 106d | Gleaming-Pear | Belgium | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,021 | +$1,384 +34% | 8 |
| 106d | WoongWoong | Spain | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$833 +33% | 8 |
| 106d | angeldrive | France | SellYes>99¢ | $1,025 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | Tsetsefly1952 | France | SellYes>99¢ | $2,024 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | Gleaming-Pear | Morocco | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,181 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 106d | alex051997 | Spain | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $7,659 | −$2,715 −35% | — |
| 106d |  zakirov1 | France | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | −$53 −2.7% | — |
| 106d | uptime07243 fills | France | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $16,105 | +$3,267 +20% | 5 |
| 106d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | France | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $11,165 | +$2,199 +20% | 5 |
| 106d | Gaditima | Morocco | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | +$228 +14% | 5 |
| 106d | stroudly | Morocco | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | −$417 −30% | — |
| 107d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Morocco | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $10,818 | +$2,901 +27% | 5 |
| 107d | 0x127e…3dd83 fills | France | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $23,359 | +$6,624 +28% | 4 |
| 107d | stroudly | Morocco | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$407 +29% | 6 |
| 107d | jimmyjpeg | Morocco | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,062 | +$599 +29% | 6 |
| 107d | 0x127e…3dd8 | Argentina | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,086 | −$771 −37% | — |
| 107d | Ymir.ash | England | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$669 −54% | — |
| 107d | Lior-Pa | Switzerland | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $14,334 | +$5,024 +35% | 6 |
| 108d | Gleaming-Pear | France | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,265 | −$1,265 −100% | 6 |
| 108d |  MaxDePayne | Switzerland | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$497 +36% | 6 |
| 108d | Yoriichi77 | Spain | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $5,778 | +$1,824 +32% | 6 |
| 108d | Private-Pantologist | Morocco | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$446 +29% | 5 |
| 108d |  FTX2.02 fills | Argentina | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $5,225 | −$2,444 −47% | — |
| 108d | LeRoiSoleil | Switzerland | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$533 +36% | 6 |
| 108d | AngryRhino | Spain | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,472 | +$824 +33% | 6 |
| 108d | AngryRhino | Argentina | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$1,300 +35% | 6 |
| 108d | AngryRhino | France | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$1,100 +28% | 5 |
| 108d | over.2 fills | Spain | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,292 | +$1,070 +33% | 6 |
Gleaming-Pear6,310 sharesThis market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Argentina means the market gives it about 100%.