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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Coast | 0% | −5 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spain | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | −17 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tunisia | 0% | −4 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iraq | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scotland | 0% | −50 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 100% | +79 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| South Korea | 0% | −29 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brazil | 0% | −12 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| England | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United States | 0% | −8 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | −6 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −53 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cape Verde | 0% | −14 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senegal | 100% | +41 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | −2 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Algeria | 100% | +49 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DR Congo | 100% | +26 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Paraguay | 100% | +2 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Türkiye | 0% | −27 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −20 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curaçao | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −25 pts | −33 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −5 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −5 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −35 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canada | 0% | 0 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan | 0% | −8 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −50 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ghana | 100% | +74 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Haiti | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Argentina | 0% | −2 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 100% | +28 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Morocco | 0% | −2 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 100% | +34 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | −16 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uruguay | 0% | −21 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Africa | 0% | −4 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egypt | 0% | −22 pts | −21 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Colombia | 0% | −11 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | −21 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Panama | 0% | −9 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118d | PredictionHallofFame | Austria | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,035 | −$1,035 −100% | 9 |
| 119d | FlyingPlaty | England | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,944 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 119d | ndb1 | Spain | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,406 | +$33 +0.7% | 4 |
| 120d |  ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Cape Verde | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$193 +15% | 6 |
| 123d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Norway | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,797 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 123d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,284 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 124d | omoi0i0 | Curaçao | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$39 +2.6% | 4 |
| 125d | finalwhistle2 fills | Tunisia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,641 | +$73 +1.3% | 4 |
| 125d | finalwhistle | Germany | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,141 | +$104 +0.7% | 4 |
| 126d | omoi0i0 | Switzerland | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,771 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 126d | omoi0i0 | England | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$12 +0.8% | 4 |
| 126d | RockSolidBond | Türkiye | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 126d | RockSolidBond | United States | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,420 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 132d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Spain | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | +$32 +2.2% | 4 |
Venimous181 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”. The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ivory Coast means the market gives it about 0%.