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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Game Spread +/-7.5 | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d |  hd777 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek99¢ → 100¢ | $4,190 | +$59 +1.4% | 4 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues8 fills | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek98¢ → 100¢ | $22,721 | +$534 +2.3% | 4 |
| 21d | Clawbangers | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$28 +1.4% | 4 |
| 21d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek98¢ → 100¢ | $4,976 | +$106 +2.1% | 4 |
| 21d | standx2 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek98¢ → 100¢ | $5,880 | +$120 +2.0% | 4 |
| 21d | makizinchers | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek97¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$29 +2.7% | 4 |
| 21d | KevinEZM4272 fills | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek97¢ → 100¢ | $18,000 | +$601 +3.3% | 4 |
| 21d |  88M | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Game Spread +/-7.5 | SellXinyu Gao39¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | −$2,655 −156% | — |
| 21d | 88M | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Game Spread +/-7.5 | BuyXinyu Gao40¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$2,190 +150% | 6 |
| 21d | Winerius | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek97¢ → 100¢ | $2,136 | +$60 +2.8% | 4 |
| 21d | d008 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$56 +2.8% | 4 |
| 21d |  coinlaundry10 fills | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | BuyIga Swiatek97¢ → 100¢ | $30,461 | +$814 +2.7% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Gao and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Gao' if Xinyu Gao advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Xinyu Gao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek means the market gives it about 0%.