| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40,904 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $34,564 | −$603 −1.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 38,326 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $33,152 | +$3,693 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 42,947 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $26,842 | −$938 −3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 39,438 | 59¢ → 65¢ | $25,437 | +$2,300 +9.9% |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 26,412 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $22,451 | +$438 +2.0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 21,201 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $16,409 | −$1,134 −6.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 14,601 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $14,244 | +$226 +1.6% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | Yes | 21,266 | 19¢ → 64¢ | $13,536 | +$9,456 +232% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 13,483 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $13,260 | +$182 +1.4% |
| Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 240d | No | 13,283 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $13,250 | +$221 +1.7% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20,231 | 54¢ → 65¢ | $13,170 | +$2,172 +20% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 16,878 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $10,380 | −$139 −1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10,608 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $10,195 | +$11 +0.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 11,927 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $9,721 | +$329 +3.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 64,914 | 36¢ → 14¢ | $8,763 | −$14,348 −62% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,416 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $6,711 | −$141 −2.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 10,454 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $6,534 | −$38 −0.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 11,934 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $6,379 | +$931 +17% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 7,265 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $6,139 | +$3 +0.1% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19,440 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $5,472 | −$1,082 −17% |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Ends in 44d | Yes | 9,430 | 30¢ → 55¢ | $5,173 | +$2,306 +80% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 5,177 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $4,737 | −$78 −1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 11,610 | 41¢ → 41¢ | $4,702 | −$58 −1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 7,177 | 56¢ → 63¢ | $4,486 | +$471 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 4,284 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $4,222 | +$156 +3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,478 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $3,356 | +$52 +1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,362 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $3,340 | +$189 +6.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,371 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $3,292 | −$45 −1.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,232 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $3,197 | −$38 −1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,154 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $3,120 | +$92 +3.0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 3,635 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $3,072 | +$18 +0.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 4,425 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $2,987 | +$23 +0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,962 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $2,839 | +$19 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 2,733 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,647 | +$21 +0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,639 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,552 | +$19 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,315 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $2,280 | +$104 +4.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,245 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $2,219 | +$110 +5.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,254 | 59¢ → 68¢ | $2,197 | +$277 +14% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,801 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $2,184 | −$78 −3.4% |
| Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Ends in 44d | Yes | 4,847 | 38¢ → 45¢ | $2,176 | +$311 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CT-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,236 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $2,162 | +$48 +2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,947 | 58¢ → 73¢ | $2,136 | +$428 +25% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-10 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 2,075 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,044 | +$73 +3.7% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 2,387 | 89¢ → 83¢ | $1,978 | −$148 −7.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,017 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,950 | +$63 +3.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,639 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $1,872 | +$221 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,920 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,861 | +$57 +3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,371 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $1,770 | +$180 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,994 | 52¢ → 58¢ | $1,736 | +$185 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,787 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,723 | +$43 +2.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,153 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $1,690 | +$260 +18% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,322 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $1,683 | +$55 +3.4% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | Yes | 12,253 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $1,642 | −$401 −20% |
| Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 1,618 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,574 | +$62 +4.1% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 2,594 | 59¢ → 54¢ | $1,388 | −$143 −9.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,693 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $1,385 | +$46 +3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,417 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1,378 | +$18 +1.3% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 2,000 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $1,360 | +$24 +1.8% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 3,738 | 30¢ → 36¢ | $1,327 | +$224 +20% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,410 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $1,311 | +$130 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,586 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $1,300 | −$16 −1.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23,606 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $1,180 | −$2,941 −71% |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 1,233 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $1,179 | +$82 +7.5% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 17d | No | 1,178 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1,167 | +$22 +1.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,685 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $1,154 | −$26 −2.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,737 | 47¢ → 42¢ | $1,136 | −$162 −12% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 1,122 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1,121 | +$19 +1.7% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,474 | 44¢ → 76¢ | $1,113 | +$466 +72% |
| Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | No | 1,088 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1,087 | +$2 +0.2% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,881 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $1,028 | −$58 −5.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,733 | 40¢ → 38¢ | $1,025 | −$77 −7.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,010 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $980 | +$20 +2.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1,145 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $922 | +$17 +1.9% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?Ends ended | Yes | 2,611 | 34¢ → 35¢ | $901 | +$13 +1.5% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,662 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $897 | +$18 +2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,226 | 61¢ → 70¢ | $852 | +$103 +14% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,000 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $850 | +$13 +1.5% |
| Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,975 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $826 | +$548 +197% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,005 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $799 | +$45 +6.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 814 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $787 | +$14 +1.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,164 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $766 | +$3 +0.3% |
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Ends in 256d | No | 1,755 | 47¢ → 44¢ | $763 | −$56 −6.8% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,296 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $758 | −$64 −7.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 784 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $752 | +$19 +2.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,033 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $749 | +$16 +2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,203 | 40¢ → 32¢ | $694 | −$178 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 719 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $685 | +$20 +3.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,967 | 8¢ → 14¢ | $671 | +$268 +67% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 665 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $662 | +$103 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $625 | +$25 +4.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,836 | 31¢ → 33¢ | $597 | +$24 +4.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 735 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $594 | +$69 +13% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,708 | 61¢ → 33¢ | $555 | −$481 −46% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 874 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $546 | +$31 +5.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,071 | 30¢ → 26¢ | $528 | −$84 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,519 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $524 | +$87 +20% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,042 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $505 | −$15 −2.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,021 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $498 | +$29 +6.1% |
| Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Ends in 44d | No | 894 | 52¢ → 55¢ | $493 | +$26 +5.6% |
| Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,518 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $472 | +$193 +69% |
