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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450d | QMG-CORE2 fills | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,074 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 452d | Xgs | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,389 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 461d | 1.3m | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,677 | −$16 −0.6% | — |
| 461d | 1.3m | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,290 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 464d |  beigesun | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$8 +0.6% | 20 |
| 478d | Lisbon | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 479d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,473 | +$209 +2.8% | 20 |
| 486d | Clown | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$21 +2.0% | 20 |
| 507d | CrashOverride952 fills | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,616 | +$122 +3.4% | 20 |
| 548d | Gdub | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$72 +5.3% | 20 |
| 574d |  Wickier | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,407 | −$154 −6.4% | — |
| 574d | Wickier | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$295 +7.5% | 20 |
| 597d |  How.Dare.You | X and Truth Social merger announced before August? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,709 | +$242 +8.9% | 20 |
SpiderManos1,248 shares
news-trader1,001 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if if is officially announced that that X (formerly Twitter) and Truth Social, or if X or its parent company Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) have agreed to merge, by July 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The announcement must indicate that the two organizations have agreed to combine their operations. This could be a legal merger where they form one entity, a joint venture, or an acquisition of one by the other. An official announcement before the end date of an X/Truth Social merger will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if or when the merger actually occurs, however statements merely suggesting that a merger/acquisition may occur or which express intent will not qualify. The resolution source will be official statements from X and/or Truth Social/Trump Media & Technology Group, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.