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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 893d |  ImJustKen | X relaunches Vine before June? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$130 +9.9% | 20 |
On April 17, Elon Musk posted a poll on X asking whether he should bring back the video streaming platform Vine. You can view that poll here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1780666831310877100 This market will resolve to "Yes" if X relaunches Vine by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Relaunching Vine" is defined as launching a platform and/or feature that performs similar functions to Vine, and is branded as a "relaunch of Vine" by Elon Musk or X itself. Note - the relaunch must be live and broadly accessible to the public before the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the Vine platform, as well as official information from Elon Musk and X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.