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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292d |  Ahpo | X relaunches Vine in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  edisonyang | X relaunches Vine in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,087 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 446d |  tupac | X relaunches Vine in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 20 |
| 457d | crambleegg | X relaunches Vine in 2025? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,515 | −$2,515 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X relaunches Vine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Relaunching Vine" is defined as launching a platform and/or feature that performs similar functions to Vine, and is branded as a "relaunch of Vine" by Elon Musk or X itself. Note - the relaunch must be live and broadly accessible to the public before the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the Vine platform, as well as official information from Elon Musk and X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.