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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 782d |  AgricultureSecretary | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,964 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 787d |  ImJustKen3 fills | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,028 | +$710 +14% | 4 |
| 794d |  gopfan2 | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,905 | +$363 +5.3% | 4 |
| 801d |  gopfan3 fills | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,069 | +$518 +10% | 4 |
| 858d |  MarekyMarek | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$388 +36% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yahya Sinwar remains leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from May 28 through August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.