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Polymarket wallet 0x010579908f5c03a4133bd4c5708da85f946951f7 · on Polymarket since Nov 13, 2024 · also shown as Cultivated-Mechanic
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 121 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,082 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 335d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo34¢ | $1 |
| 499d | Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July? | BuyNo58¢ | $70 |
| 675d | Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? | BuyNo58¢ | $40 |
| 709d | Germany confidence vote in 2024? | BuyNo5¢ | $10 |
| 710d | Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024? | BuyYes5¢ | $140 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.