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Polymarket wallet 0x0204d791da6dddcd8a171a5a388284ffe88727dc · on Polymarket since Dec 27, 2025 · also shown as Slippery-Necessity
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 246,277 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49,265 −100% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,355 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,341 −100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,998 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,000 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 298d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BuyNo38¢ | $29,170 |
| 299d | Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $1,341 |
| 299d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SellYes14¢ | $1,341 |
| 300d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BuyNo16¢ | $12,102 |
| 300d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BuyYes47¢ | $8,000 |
| 301d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BuyNo9¢ | $7,993 |
| 301d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BuyYes21¢ | $2,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.