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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$1B | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$2B | 100% | — | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$3B | 0% | −46 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$4B | 0% | −12 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >$6B | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$8B | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$10B | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$14B | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 293d |  NihilisticMeerkat | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $6,280 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | Adelius | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,072 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | oijafowejfoawejif | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $258,747 | −$259 −0.1% | — |
| 294d |  Mr.Predictions | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,838 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | Hundert | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d |  alisonlamp | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | guhype | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $3,111 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | guhe | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $3,311 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | Saucypajamas | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $6,813 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | NihilisticMeerkat | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $5,001 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | 0x73d38d824fb2a24d1d888da0e582a850cb34343b | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $7,633 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | Abandoned-Property | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,236 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | yamamoto26 | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d |  GetEvenOrGetEvenWorse | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $28,244 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | Dutiful-FinisherNew account | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $118,881 | −$119 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | m8i2 fills | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $4,988 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 294d | wenyu888888 | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $50,633 | −$51 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | fdfr31fr1 | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $3,067 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | fdfr31fr1 | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $3,568 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | Cowboys0427 | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,218 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | dkdkejrid | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $10,841 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | toanhtoanh | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $3,069 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 294d |  Goopster | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $2,248 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | metmaxi | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $4,453 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | metmaxi | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | 0xa7f2…7027 | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $19,009 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | tetherscamin5hours | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | beingforthebenefitofmrkite | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | wealldisagree | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $17,096 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | suohacreazy2 fills | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $10,045 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 294d |  LlamaLoco0000 | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $2,081 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | TWK3 | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,273 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | 55gg55gg55gg55gg | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,058 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | JustHereWaiting | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $9,393 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | Gruesome-Gasoline | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $8,333 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  elmcap2 | >$2B | BuyYes>99¢ | $117,499 | +$118 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | elmcap2 | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $83,171 | +$83 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d |  BobTheDevourer | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | bARBara-3 fills | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $5,888 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 295d |  Debosnys | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | EnzoFabi | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,138 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | Elias.Thornwell | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,516 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $55,847 | −$112 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | hippopol | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,151 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  12figureg2 fills | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $3,891 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 295d |  prescient | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $11,101 | −$22 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | lfg321 | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,205 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d |  iamkrisas | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,286 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | prescient | >$2B | SellYes>99¢ | $10,630 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | brickrickpick | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $2,256 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | laiksw | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,147 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | 0x09fa…5b72 | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,780 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | 0xdc9c…42ca | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,238 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d |  ElvenWisp | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,204 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d |  JAHODA | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $99,900 | −$100 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | d83eb0F | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,733 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | Horrible-Engagement | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | froggyfreshh | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $52,702 | −$86 −0.2% | — |
| 295d |  takemymoney | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $3,297 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | JustHereWaiting | >$1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,393 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
This is a market on Lighter FDV
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$1B means the market gives it about 100%.