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Polymarket wallet 0x041fee7c5bfebf9af191ccdd4d899d05f68af5ac · on Polymarket since Sep 14, 2026 · also shown as Probable-Politics
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BuyUp80¢ | $2 |
| 6d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BuyUp26¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BuyDown40¢ | $1 |
| 14d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $1 |
| 14d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BuyUp57¢ | $1 |
| 14d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BuyDown35¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BuyUp47¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BuyDown45¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BuyUp54¢ | $1 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1 |
| 22d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BuyDown54¢ | $1 |
| 95d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes20¢ | $29 |
| 95d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes20¢ | $31 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.