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Polymarket wallet 0x0445a1d250956a52c6a178ddfd08b8ddd0cd5de4 · on Polymarket since Nov 26, 2025 · also shown as Belated-Parrot
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 496 | 40¢ → 12¢ | $57 | −$143 −72% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26d | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $200 |
| 194d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SellYes99¢ | $309 |
| 216d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BuyYes64¢ | $200 |
| 327d | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | BuyNo57¢ | $25 |
| 332d | Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30? | BuyNo69¢ | $17 |
| 332d | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31? | BuyNo66¢ | $25 |
| 332d | Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30? | BuyYes42¢ | $25 |
| 332d | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31? | BuyNo63¢ | $25 |
| 332d | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BuyNo69¢ | $25 |
| 332d | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? | BuyNo63¢ | $50 |
| 332d | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BuyNo73¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.