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Polymarket wallet 0x05da758297b21d92f6ef9e87f5a051f72a34899c · on Polymarket since Nov 22, 2025 · also shown as Frozen-Beanstalk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +41% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 44¢ | $1 | −$0 −33% |
| Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156d | Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 156d | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21? | BuyYes29¢ | $1 |
| 156d | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31? | BuyYes86¢ | $1 |
| 156d | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? | BuyYes83¢ | $1 |
| 188d | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BuyYes65¢ | $1 |
| 295d | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January? | BuyYes37¢ | $1 |
| 311d | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BuyYes71¢ | $1 |
| 311d | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes73¢ | $1 |
| 311d | Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31? | BuyNo90¢ | $1 |
| 311d | Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | BuyYes68¢ | $1 |
| 318d | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31? | BuyNo78¢ | $1 |
| 318d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.