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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +19 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308d | I-want-Hermes | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,161 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | 20Nick00 | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | xiaxiasumer | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,175 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 308d |  25usdc | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | nuli228 | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | iamgone | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $47,280 | +$47 +0.1% | 20 |
| 308d | Lean-Pelt | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 308d |  zb8 | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 308d |  Car | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 308d |  Euan7 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $50,164 | +$1,139 +2.3% | 20 |
| 308d |  jesterthegoose6 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,149 | +$448 +4.4% | 20 |
| 308d |  zgojo | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,540 | −$48 −1.1% | — |
| 308d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C293 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $38,270 | −$298 −0.8% | — |
| 308d |  OxVooDoo | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,512 | +$26 +0.4% | 20 |
| 308d |  bamesjond | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes100¢ | $3,874 | +$19 +0.5% | 20 |
| 308d |  d1namiiit | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$8 +0.6% | 20 |
| 308d | zgojo | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,554 | +$34 +0.6% | 20 |
| 308d |  tourists | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 308d |  mr.ozi3 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $12,776 | +$779 +6.1% | 20 |
| 308d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C294 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $24,030 | +$1,235 +5.1% | 20 |
| 308d |  AllByMyseIf5 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $11,210 | +$2,017 +18% | 20 |
| 308d |  just.some.guy3 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,602 | +$284 +6.2% | 20 |
| 308d |  vinii | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$126 −11% | — |
| 308d |  a.weidel | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | −$156 −11% | — |
| 308d |  chungguskhan | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,274 | +$324 +9.9% | 20 |
| 308d |  Parz1vaI | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$165 +12% | 20 |
| 308d |  regretties | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$162 −14% | — |
| 308d | iprofitme | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyNo13¢ → 0¢ | $2,491 | −$2,491 −100% | 26 |
| 308d |  TealV2 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,020 | +$260 +6.5% | 20 |
| 308d | bologne2 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $4,052 | −$4,052 −100% | 29 |
| 308d | Peanutbettor9 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $20,704 | +$3,749 +18% | 20 |
| 308d | islandsta | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | −$97 −7.7% | — |
| 309d |  kekkone | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,140 | +$200 +6.4% | 20 |
| 309d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,713 | +$160 +2.4% | 20 |
| 309d |  Mohammad001 | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyNo5¢ → 0¢ | $1,316 | −$1,316 −100% | 22 |
| 309d | a.weidel | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$169 +12% | 20 |
| 309d |  Frosen4 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $26,912 | +$6,265 +23% | 20 |
| 309d | a.weidel | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellNo19¢ → 0¢ | $1,381 | +$1,381 +100% | — |
| 309d |  duderr | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$380 +23% | 20 |
| 309d |  FridayNight5 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $11,448 | +$5,573 +49% | 20 |
| 309d | jkase | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$304 +28% | 20 |
| 309d |  predictionscat | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 22 |
| 309d | KaiserJohnny4 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $9,039 | +$1,455 +16% | 20 |
| 309d |  Naichli | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,779 | +$695 +25% | 20 |
| 309d | Adornono | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 309d | kingkong4410 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $45,062 | +$6,297 +14% | 20 |
| 309d | KaiserJohnny3 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $7,927 | −$2,030 −26% | — |
| 309d |  Simbaaaa | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,203 | −$747 −10% | — |
| 309d |  12xmrbolt | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | −$135 −11% | — |
| 309d | FlaccidWillie4 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $7,685 | +$3,644 +47% | 20 |
| 310d |  tunatyler | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,310 | +$1,310 +100% | — |
| 310d | shiny22 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,725 | +$794 +21% | 20 |
| 310d | Naichli | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,830 | +$1,830 +100% | — |
| 310d | Jojo901 | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 21 |
| 310d | cly | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$279 −23% | — |
| 311d | xwzw | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,999 | +$1,000 +25% | 20 |
| 311d | Peanutbettor4 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $13,517 | −$5,754 −43% | — |
| 311d | 0xd2a2 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $4,402 | +$1,240 +28% | 20 |
| 312d | gingytrades2 fills | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $3,426 | −$1,574 −46% | — |
| 312d | gingytrades | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,809 | +$852 +30% | 20 |
This market resolves to "Yes" if DraftKings makes at least one prediction market live and accessible to users on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." A “prediction market” refers to a tradable binary contract on a future event that is executed on an exchange venue (e.g., a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market) and offered on inside DraftKings’ U.S. site/app. Whitelabeling with a partner DCM via an FCM or other integration will qualify however fixed-odds sportsbook bets and fantasy contests do not qualify. Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational. The resolution's source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
