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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,350 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 120 million or more views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,725 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 182 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 294d | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 297d | Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 297d | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 315d | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 315d | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 319d | Will MrBeast's next video get 120 million or more views on week 1? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 319d | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in December 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 319d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.