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Polymarket wallet 0x0857cf3e7ddd271a5adf6aad3819b811a1654b96 · on Polymarket since Mar 26, 2023 · also shown as Sizzling-Raffle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +16% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 403d | Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ | $2 |
| 403d | Will France recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyNo13¢ | $2 |
| 403d | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-27? | BuyYes86¢ | $3 |
| 403d | Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass? | BuyYes94¢ | $11 |
| 403d | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on September 20? | BuyNo99¢ | $3 |
| 403d | Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference? | BuyYes98¢ | $11 |
| 403d | Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference? | BuyNo80¢ | $2 |
| 456d | Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25? | BuyYes99¢ | $5 |
| 456d | Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 456d | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? | BuyNo71¢ | $12 |
| 456d | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BuyDown77¢ | $3 |
| 456d | Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31? | BuyNo89¢ | $11 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.