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Polymarket wallet 0x0976995aa1649abbc0b3b18ab328997062a0319a · on Polymarket since Feb 27, 2026 · also shown as French-Segment
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 168 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,811 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,455 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,429 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,053 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,575 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 250 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41,556 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BuyYes20¢ | $773 |
| 232d | GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $50 |
| 232d | GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 232d | Trump out as President by March 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 232d | Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | BuyNo<1¢ | $20 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BuyUp6¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BuyDown2¢ | $5 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $30 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BuyUp17¢ | $100 |
| 237d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $53 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $100 |
| 238d | Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.