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Polymarket wallet 0x0a46d5164a405bbbab7fc1e6bc9297739ef0cd99 · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $34 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 23 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $23 | +$3 +16% |
| GPT ads by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuarySettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 280d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ | $20 |
| 280d | Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ | $30 |
| 280d | Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo61¢ | $5 |
| 280d | Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? | BuyNo64¢ | $10 |
| 280d | GPT ads by March 31? | BuyYes96¢ | $3 |
| 280d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes66¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.