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Polymarket wallet 0x0aca9dbac4957c8d04ce36a1805ccd6674e516fc · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Flustered-Advantage
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 63 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 194d | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $3 |
| 194d | Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo3¢ | $1 |
| 194d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BuyUp22¢ | $15 |
| 194d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SellDown66¢ | $15 |
| 194d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BuyDown42¢ | $10 |
| 194d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BuyDown61¢ | $8 |
| 194d | Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30? | BuyNo3¢ | $1 |
| 194d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BuyDown3¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.