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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 444 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will December 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 11, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 294 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Wealthfront's market cap be greater than $2.05B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 668 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 315d | Will December 2025 be the 1st hottest on record? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 315d | Will Wealthfront's market cap be greater than $2.05B at market close on IPO day? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 315d | Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 316d | XRP Up or Down - December 11, 3PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $5 |
| 316d | Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | BuyNo2¢ | $5 |
| 316d | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 316d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $4 |
| 316d | Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.