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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Architects of AI / Other | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pope Francis | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −68 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| LeBron James | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charlie Kirk | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | −13 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Altman | 0% | −8 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person/Thing I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person/Thing J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315d | LeBron James | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 316d | Imperfect-Beetle | Pope Leo XIV | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | lug | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | crappy | Artificial Intelligence | SellNo>99¢ | $5,487 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | btzlcb | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,477 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | hsy5652 | Jensen Huang | SellNo>99¢ | $1,343 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $2,693 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 316d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $11,029 | −$11 −0.1% | — | |
| 316d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $21,863 | −$22 −0.1% | — | |
| 316d | Artificial Intelligence | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 316d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $2,928 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $5,192 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 317d | Pope Leo XIV | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $4,680 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,140 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $8,816 | −$18 −0.2% | — | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,200 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 317d | Artificial Intelligence | SellNo>99¢ | $36,829 | −$37 −0.1% | — | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $2,419 | −$5 −0.2% | — | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,829 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $97,689 | −$1,126 −1.2% | — | |
| 317d | poorsob | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,916 | +$26 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,815 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $132,452 | +$133 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,574 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 317d | Kevindoto2 fills | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $67,635 | +$145 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | Liquidifier | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,829 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | Liquidifier | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,090 | +$36 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | costcostaff017 fills | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,462 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | costcostaff017 fills | Sam Altman | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,462 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | costcostaff017 fills | Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,458 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 317d | Siziriv4 fills | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $6,286 | −$22 −0.4% | — |
| 317d | cigarettes19 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,974 | +$152 +0.4% | 20 |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,688 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 317d | cigarettes16 fills | Sam Altman | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $30,907 | +$269 +0.9% | 20 |
| 317d | cigarettes20 fills | Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $38,781 | +$695 +1.8% | 20 |
| 317d | cigarettes20 fills | Jensen Huang | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $38,591 | +$276 +0.7% | 20 |
| 317d | costcostaff016 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,676 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | costcostaff016 fills | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,677 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | AndreasSan | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,960 | +$40 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | forinnerpsandr1x112222 fills | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,074 | +$320 +4.5% | 20 |
| 317d | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,945 | +$26 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,740 | +$19 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 317d | cigarettes19 fills | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,959 | +$125 +0.3% | 20 |
| 317d | cigarettes14 fills | Pope Leo XIV | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,647 | +$53 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | costcostaff012 fills | Pope Leo XIV | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,995 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | SellYes>99¢ | $1,040 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 317d | Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 317d | Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $36,837 | +$199 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $154,042 | +$204 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,298 | +$293 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 317d | Architects of AI / Other | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $32,777 | +$902 +2.8% | 20 | |
| 317d | Chipper | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,649 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 317d | scuf | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $5,071 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 317d | funtime88 | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,424 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | GummiMummi | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,293 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
This is a market on who will be named Time Magazine's Person of the Year in 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Architects of AI / Other means the market gives it about 100%.