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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,159 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Barrel" during Monday press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 832 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,625 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.