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Polymarket wallet 0x0f196b4b1636452bb16484ea9dc3130dce837a1d · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026 · also shown as Alienated-Allegation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - January 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 304 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 32 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 283 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 305 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 130 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.