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Polymarket wallet 0x11463e794f7bd68dde86769e235ef551a8f82aa3 · on Polymarket since Apr 3, 2025 · also shown as Mild-Belligerency
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 190 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 420 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,420 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 190 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Suns vs. ThunderSettled - ready to redeem | Suns | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 741 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump release the sanctioned oil tanker by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.